Frank Lester vs Nick Osipczak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Rough House
What's at stake
Nick Osipczak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Frank Lester carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1491
If they win+19→ 1602
If they lose-29→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frank LesterNick Osipczak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Osipczak64%
Frank Lester 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Osipczak a 64% favorite over Frank Lester in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Nick Osipczak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1503, a 80-point edge.
Frank Lester finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Osipczak 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.