Frank Lester vs Taylor Michels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank LesterTaylor Michels
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Michels66%
Frank Lester 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 66% favorite over Frank Lester in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Lester's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1498), separated by just 5 points.
Frank Lester finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.