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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Shamrock vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-2Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The AllianceTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank ShamrockNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
53%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
58%
Strike defense
60%
0.35
Takedown avg.
1.42
50%
Takedown accuracy
27%
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Frank ShamrockMarco Tulio
165017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
12 (57%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (24%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio61%
Frank Shamrock 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 61% favorite over Frank Shamrock in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Shamrock's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1672), separated by just 4 points.

Frank Shamrock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frank Shamrock finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.