Frankie Edgar vs Gray Maynard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach70,0"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Frankie Edgar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gray Maynard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1701
If they lose-14→ 1677
If they win+19→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarGray Maynard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Edgar71%
Gray Maynard 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 71% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Frankie Edgar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1619, a 72-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.
Gray Maynard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.