Frankie Edgar vs Gray Maynard

Jan 2, 2011 · ESPN+

DateJan 2, 2011

DivisionLightweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueMGM Grand Garden Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, January 2, 2011 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Frankie EdgarThe Answer |24-11-1Frankie Edgar vs Gray MaynardGray MaynardThe Bully |13-7-1

Frankie EdgarThe Answer24-11-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05:00

24-11-1Record13-7-1

44Age47

5'6"Height5'8"

68"Reach70,0"

136 lbsWeight145 lbs

Lightweight TitleWeight ClassLightweight Title

Gray MaynardThe Bully13-7-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Frankie Edgar owns a 72-point Elo edge (good). Gray Maynard shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Frankie EdgarGray Maynard

Recent form

Frankie EdgarL L L W L · -49 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Gray MaynardL W L W W · +3 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Frankie Edgar1691-12 last move

Gray Maynard1619-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Frankie EdgarNot on the active ladder · 1691 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Yair Rodriguez (rated 1731 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Chan Sung Jung (rated 1646 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -49 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1605, not 1691: 86 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Gray MaynardNot on the active ladder · 1619 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Teruto Ishihara (rated 1612 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to TJ Grant (rated 1629 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +3 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1529, not 1619: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Frankie EdgarNow 1691

Wins by decision+10→ 1701

Loses by decision-14→ 1677

Gray MaynardNow 1619

Wins by decision+19→ 1638

Loses by decision-13→ 1606

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Frankie EdgarvsGray Maynard

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.77vs1.92

Takedown accuracy

29%vs48%

Submission average

0.31vs0.70

Takedown average

2.29vs2.91

Finishing profile

Frankie Edgardecision leads 54% of wins

Gray Maynarddecision leads 85% of wins

Common opponents

Jim MillerFrankie Edgar: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 18, 2006Gray Maynard: win · Decision · Mar 7, 2009

Tale of the tape

Frankie EdgarGray Maynard

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.77Sig. strikes landed per min1.92

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

40Sig. strike accuracy33

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

2.82Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.64

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

66Sig. strike defense67

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

2.29Takedown average2.91

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

29Takedown accuracy48

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

66Takedown defense81

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.31Submission average0.70

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

7Wins by knockout2

4Wins by submission0

13Wins by decision11

5Losses by knockout5

0Losses by submission0

6Losses by decision2

Frankie Edgar vs Gray Maynard is a scheduled Lightweight Title fight on UFC 125 : EDGAR VS MAYNARD. Frankie Edgar enters with a 24-11-1 record and Gray Maynard enters with a 13-7-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.