Frankie Edgar vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera72%
Frankie Edgar 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 72% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1692, a 18-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Frankie Edgar and Marlon Vera share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and Pedro Munhoz.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.