Frankie Saenz vs Goga Shamatava
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record21-14-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamKhetagurov Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie SaenzGoga Shamatava
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Goga Shamatava54%
Frankie Saenz 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Goga Shamatava a 54% favorite over Frankie Saenz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frankie Saenz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Goga Shamatava enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Goga Shamatava 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.