Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Saenz vs Iuri Alcantara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66,0"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamMarajo Brothers Team

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Frankie Saenz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frankie SaenzNow 1589
If they win+21→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1578
Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+8→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.74
Takedown avg.
1.44
32%
Takedown accuracy
63%
62%
Takedown defense
60%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Frankie SaenzIuri Alcantara
16001650170020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
2 (17%)
Submission
14 (40%)
7 (58%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Iuri Alcantara72%
Frankie Saenz 28%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 72% favorite over Frankie Saenz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1589, a 109-point edge.

Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Iuri Alcantara 80%.

Iuri Alcantara carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.