Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Saenz vs Jonathan Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record19-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Jonathan Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Frankie Saenz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frankie SaenzNow 1589
If they win+20→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1577
Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-20→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.74
Takedown avg.
0.38
32%
Takedown accuracy
36%
62%
Takedown defense
68%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Frankie SaenzJonathan Martinez
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (11%)
7 (58%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Martinez75%
Frankie Saenz 25%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martinez a 75% favorite over Frankie Saenz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jonathan Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1589, a 89-point edge.

Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martinez 58%.

Jonathan Martinez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.