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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Saenz vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frankie SaenzNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
1.74
Takedown avg.
Not available
32%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
62%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.12
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Frankie SaenzNicolas Mandiola
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (60%)
7 (58%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Frankie Saenz54%
Nicolas Mandiola 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Saenz a 54% favorite over Nicolas Mandiola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.