Frankie Saenz vs Nolan Ticman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record4-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Frankie Saenz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Nolan Ticman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-20→ 1569
If they win+30→ 1537
If they lose-18→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie SaenzNolan Ticman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Saenz56%
Nolan Ticman 44%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Saenz a 56% favorite over Nolan Ticman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Frankie Saenz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1507, a 82-point edge.
Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nolan Ticman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Nolan Ticman 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.