Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Saenz vs Sirwan Kakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamGBG MMA

What's at stake

Frankie Saenz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Sirwan Kakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frankie SaenzNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-20→ 1569
Sirwan KakaiNow 1498
If they win+30→ 1528
If they lose-18→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
52%
Strike defense
62%
1.74
Takedown avg.
4
32%
Takedown accuracy
42%
62%
Takedown defense
83%
0.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Frankie SaenzSirwan Kakai
15001550160020162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
6 (50%)
7 (58%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Frankie Saenz and Sirwan Kakai within a point of even.

Frankie Saenz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1498, a 91-point edge.

Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sirwan Kakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sirwan Kakai 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.