Combat Edge Intelligence

Frederick Brown vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
78,0"ReachTBD
235 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frederick BrownNow 1514
If they win+24→ 1538
If they lose-24→ 1490
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
55%
Strike defense
47%
0.72
Takedown avg.
0
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
100%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Frederick BrownMatheus Scheffel
150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel52%
Frederick Brown 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 52% favorite over Frederick Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1514 vs 1521), separated by just 7 points.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Frederick Brown finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.