Gabe Green vs Matheus Camilo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach 69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabe GreenMatheus Camilo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Camilo76%
Gabe Green 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 76% favorite over Gabe Green in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabe Green's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.
Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gabe Green finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.
Gabe Green carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.