Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabe Green vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gabe Green
us

Gabe Green

“Gifted”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1660Good
Phil Rowe
us

Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
73"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

Gabe Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Phil Rowe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabe GreenNow 1660
If they win+15→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1643
Phil RoweNow 1637
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
45%
Strike accuracy
50%
6.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
47%
Strike defense
52%
0.83
Takedown avg.
0.52
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
54%
Takedown defense
50%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Gabe GreenPhil Rowe
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
7 (58%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabe Green52%
Phil Rowe 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Green a 52% favorite over Phil Rowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Gabe Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1637, a 23-point edge.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabe Green finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Phil Rowe carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.