Gabe Green vs Yohan Lainesse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamBrazilian Top Team Canada
What's at stake
Gabe Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yohan Lainesse carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1643
If they win+17→ 1661
If they lose-15→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabe GreenYohan Lainesse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabe Green60%
Yohan Lainesse 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Green a 60% favorite over Yohan Lainesse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Gabe Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1644, a 16-point edge.
Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gabe Green finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.
Yohan Lainesse carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.