Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sean Sharaf57%
Gable Steveson 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Sharaf a 57% favorite over Gable Steveson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1577), separated by just 6 points.
Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sharaf 100%.
Sean Sharaf carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
74"Reach77"
265 lbsWeight252 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gable StevesonSean Sharaf