Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Sharaf
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Sean Sharaf

“The Smoke”

4-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1544Average

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach77"
265 lbsWeight252 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Gable Steveson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Sean Sharaf carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+20→ 1625
If they lose-28→ 1577
Sean SharafNow 1544
If they win+28→ 1572
If they lose-20→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

16.29
Sig. strikes / min
7.41
72%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
15
61%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
0.93
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gable StevesonSean Sharaf
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson73%
Sean Sharaf 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 73% favorite over Sean Sharaf in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Gable Steveson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1605 to 1544, a 61-point edge.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Sean Sharaf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sharaf 100%.

Sean Sharaf carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.