Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72″Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Gabriel Bonfim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Randy Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1822
If they lose-19→ 1790
If they win+14→ 1756
If they lose-10→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BonfimRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Bonfim76%
Randy Brown 24%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 76% favorite over Randy Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Gabriel Bonfim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1742, a 67-point edge.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown share 2 common opponents: Khaos Williams and Nicolas Dalby.
Randy Brown carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.