Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown

Oct 11, 2025 · ESPN+

DateOct 11, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueFarmasi Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 11, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Gabriel BonfimMarretinha |20-1-0Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy BrownRandy BrownRude Boy |20-8-0

Gabriel BonfimMarretinha20-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

20-1-0Record20-8-0

29Age36

6'0"Height6'3"

72″Reach78"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Randy BrownRude Boy20-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gabriel Bonfim owns a 66-point Elo edge (great). Gabriel Bonfim shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gabriel BonfimRandy Brown

Recent form

Gabriel BonfimW W W W W · +78 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Randy BrownL L W L W · -15 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Gabriel Bonfim1808+17 last move

Randy Brown1742-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Gabriel Bonfim#8 of 362 active Welterweight fighters · 1808 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mounir Lazzez (rated 1675 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nicolas Dalby (rated 1724 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +78 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #7 Rinat Fakhretdinov, 0 ahead of #9 Sean Brady.

Randy Brown#36 of 362 active Welterweight fighters · 1742 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Muslim Salikhov (rated 1733 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jack Della Maddalena (rated 1728 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -15 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #35 Gilbert Burns, 6 ahead of #37 Kevin Holland.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Gabriel BonfimNow 1808 · #8 Welterweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1821

Loses by decision-19→ 1789

Randy BrownNow 1742 · #36 Welterweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1756

Loses by decision-10→ 1732

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Gabriel BonfimvsRandy Brown

Takedown accuracy

0%vs16%

Takedown average

2.57vs0.71

Submission average

1.03vs0.52

Sig. strike defense

65%vs54%

Finishing profile

Gabriel Bonfimsubmission leads 65% of wins

Randy BrownKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

Carlos LealGabriel Bonfim: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 18, 2021Randy Brown: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 31, 2026

Nicolas Dalby Gabriel Bonfim: loss · TKO (knees and punches) · Nov 4, 2023 Randy Brown: win · KO (punch) · Apr 26, 2025

Khaos Williams Gabriel Bonfim: win · Submission (D'arce Choke) · Feb 15, 2025 Randy Brown: win · Decision (Split) · May 7, 2022

Tale of the tape

Gabriel BonfimRandy Brown

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.76Sig. strikes landed per min4.39

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

47Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.61Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.35

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

65Sig. strike defense54

UFC welterweight average : 53%

2.57Takedown average0.71

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

0Takedown accuracy16

UFC welterweight average : 30%

79Takedown defense75

UFC welterweight average : 59%

1.03Submission average0.52

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

4Wins by knockout8

13Wins by submission5

3Wins by decision7

1Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision3

Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : OLIVEIRA VS GAMROT. Gabriel Bonfim enters with a 20-1-0 record and Randy Brown enters with a 20-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.