Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Bonfim vs Sean Brady

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-1-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72″Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel BonfimNow 1809
If they win+16→ 1825
If they lose-16→ 1793
Sean BradyNow 1807
If they win+16→ 1823
If they lose-16→ 1791

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
46%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
63%
Strike defense
59%
3.60
Takedown avg.
3.53
56%
Takedown accuracy
53%
76%
Takedown defense
87%
1.44
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Gabriel BonfimSean Brady
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
13 (65%)
Submission
6 (32%)
3 (15%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriel Bonfim60%
Sean Brady 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 60% favorite over Sean Brady in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1809 vs 1807), separated by just 2 points.

Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.

Gabriel Bonfim and Sean Brady share 1 common opponent: Belal Muhammad.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Belal Muhammad
LossTKO · 2022