Gabriel Lourenço vs Kevin Szaflarski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
76"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight260 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1689
If they lose-24→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel LourençoKevin Szaflarski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Lourenço55%
Kevin Szaflarski 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Lourenço a 55% favorite over Kevin Szaflarski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1663), separated by just 2 points.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gabriel Lourenço finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Szaflarski 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.