Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Miranda vs Lance Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
CM SystemTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel MirandaNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Lance LawrenceNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
5.87
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.80
37%
Strike defense
25%
3.85
Takedown avg.
1
33%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
1.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriel MirandaLance Lawrence
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
16 (94%)
Submission
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Lawrence62%
Gabriel Miranda 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 62% favorite over Gabriel Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Miranda's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1555), separated by just 6 points.

Gabriel Miranda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Miranda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lance Lawrence 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.