Gabriele Lionetti vs Rio Kimura
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Rio Kimura71%
Gabriele Lionetti 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rio Kimura a 71% favorite over Gabriele Lionetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1507), separated by just 3 points.
Gabriele Lionetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record2-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight130 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamK-Clann
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriele LionettiRio Kimura