Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-9-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFighter House

What's at stake

Gabriella Fernandes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Julija Stoliarenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabriella FernandesNow 1614
If they win+13→ 1627
If they lose-19→ 1595
Julija StoliarenkoNow 1551
If they win+19→ 1570
If they lose-13→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
48%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
52%
Strike defense
46%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.93
18%
Takedown accuracy
28%
69%
Takedown defense
55%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.67

Trajectory

Gabriella FernandesJulija Stoliarenko
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (27%)
Submission
10 (91%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriella Fernandes67%
Julija Stoliarenko 33%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriella Fernandes a 67% favorite over Julija Stoliarenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Gabriella Fernandes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1551, a 63-point edge.

Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriella Fernandes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Julija Stoliarenko 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.