Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriella Fernandes vs Liliya Shakirova

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA MastersTeamOld School MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriella FernandesNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Liliya ShakirovaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
48%
Strike accuracy
31%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
52%
Strike defense
74%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0
18%
Takedown accuracy
0%
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriella FernandesLiliya Shakirova
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
3 (27%)
Submission
1 (13%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriella Fernandes60%
Liliya Shakirova 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriella Fernandes a 60% favorite over Liliya Shakirova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Gabriella Fernandes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Liliya Shakirova 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.