Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriella Fernandes vs Nayara Arnault Maia Correia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-1-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA MastersTeamBH Rhinos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriella FernandesNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Nayara Arnault Maia CorreiaNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
0.60
48%
Strike accuracy
36%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
52%
Strike defense
44%
0.44
Takedown avg.
1
18%
Takedown accuracy
33%
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.22
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Gabriella FernandesNayara Arnault Maia Correia
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (27%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriella Fernandes60%
Nayara Arnault Maia Correia 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriella Fernandes a 60% favorite over Nayara Arnault Maia Correia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nayara Arnault Maia Correia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1617), separated by just 3 points.

Gabriella Fernandes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nayara Arnault Maia Correia 71%.

Gabriella Fernandes and Nayara Arnault Maia Correia share 1 common opponent: Tereza Bledá.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Tereza Bledá
Loss Decision · 2022