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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gael Grimaud vs Mikhail Dolgov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record11-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight187 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gael GrimaudNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Mikhail DolgovNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gael GrimaudMikhail Dolgov
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
14 (67%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (19%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Mikhail Dolgov62%
Gael Grimaud 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mikhail Dolgov a 62% favorite over Gael Grimaud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gael Grimaud's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1535), separated by just 1 points.

Gael Grimaud enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mikhail Dolgov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gael Grimaud finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mikhail Dolgov 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.