Combat Edge Intelligence

Gaetano Pirrello vs Kris Moutinho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Osman GymTeamRivera Athletic Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gaetano PirrelloNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Kris MoutinhoNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
55%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.68
43%
Strike defense
29%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
30%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gaetano PirrelloKris Moutinho
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (19%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Kris Moutinho59%
Gaetano Pirrello 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 59% favorite over Gaetano Pirrello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gaetano Pirrello's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.

Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gaetano Pirrello finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.