Gamid Khizriev vs Michael Boylan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Gamid Khizriev59%
Michael Boylan 41%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Gamid Khizriev a 59% favorite over Michael Boylan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Gamid Khizriev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1582, a 70-point edge.
Gamid Khizriev enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Michael Boylan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gamid Khizriev finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michael Boylan 100%.
Michael Boylan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Gamid Khizriev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Michael Boylan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1671
If they lose-29→ 1623
If they win+29→ 1611
If they lose-19→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gamid KhizrievMichael Boylan