Gamid Khizriev vs Michael Boylan

DateOct 16, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueWintrust Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Gamid Khizriev7-0-0Gamid Khizriev vs Michael BoylanMichael BoylanThe Ninja |6-1-0

Gamid Khizriev7-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

7-0-0Record6-1-0

TBDAge25

5'11"Height6'0"

69"Reach72"

155 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Michael BoylanThe Ninja6-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gamid Khizriev owns a 14-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Gamid Khizriev and Michael Boylan across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gamid KhizrievMichael Boylan

Recent form

Gamid KhizrievW W W W W · +124 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Michael BoylanL W W W W · +59 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Gamid Khizriev1624+29 last move

Michael Boylan1610-21 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

36%Gamid Khizriev64%Michael Boylan

Model favoriteMichael Boylan

Elo baseline48% for Michael Boylan

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Michael BoylanStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Michael Boylan is 64%, after Elo alone favored Gamid Khizriev at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1624 · 1610Gamid Khizriev leads by 14 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1519 · 1491Gamid Khizriev faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 7 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 7 fightsMichael Boylan has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Gamid KhizrievvsMichael Boylan

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Gamid Khizrievsubmission leads 71% of wins

Michael BoylanKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Gamid KhizrievMichael Boylan

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

1Wins by knockout4

5Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Gamid Khizriev vs Michael Boylan is a scheduled Lightweight fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Gamid Khizriev enters with a 7-0-0 record and Michael Boylan enters with a 6-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.