Garett Whiteley vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
IndyBoxing and GrapplingTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Vinc Pichel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Garett Whiteley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1559
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-20→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Garett WhiteleyVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinc Pichel70%
Garett Whiteley 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinc Pichel a 70% favorite over Garett Whiteley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Vinc Pichel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1571, a 79-point edge.
Garett Whiteley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Garett Whiteley finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.