Combat Edge Intelligence

Garreth McLellan vs Hojat Khajevand

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
72,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamFightclub Freiburg

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Garreth McLellanNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Hojat KhajevandNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.15
Takedown avg.
TBD
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
35%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.86
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Garreth McLellanHojat Khajevand
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
9 (69%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand60%
Garreth McLellan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 60% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Garreth McLellan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Garreth McLellan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Hojat Khajevand 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.