Combat Edge Intelligence

Garreth McLellan vs Magnus Cedenblad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
72,0"Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Magnus Cedenblad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Garreth McLellan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Garreth McLellanNow 1583
If they win+19→ 1602
If they lose-13→ 1570
Magnus CedenbladNow 1654
If they win+13→ 1667
If they lose-19→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
54%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
45%
Strike defense
40%
1.15
Takedown avg.
2.87
22%
Takedown accuracy
64%
35%
Takedown defense
67%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Garreth McLellanMagnus Cedenblad
1600165020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (69%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Cedenblad75%
Garreth McLellan 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Cedenblad a 75% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Magnus Cedenblad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1583, a 71-point edge.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Garreth McLellan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Cedenblad 86%.

Magnus Cedenblad carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.