Combat Edge Intelligence

Garrett Armfield vs Toshiomi Kazama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach 69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Springfield Fight ClubTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

Toshiomi Kazama is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Garrett Armfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577
Toshiomi KazamaNow 1622
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-17→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
56%
Strike defense
43%
1.10
Takedown avg.
1.68
50%
Takedown accuracy
13%
65%
Takedown defense
67%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Garrett ArmfieldToshiomi Kazama
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (20%)
Submission
6 (55%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Toshiomi Kazama56%
Garrett Armfield 44%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Toshiomi Kazama a 56% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Toshiomi Kazama holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1592, a 30-point edge.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Garrett Armfield finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.