Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Goodridge vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-22-1Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
TBDReach80"
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
Big Daddy Fight TeamTeamLotus Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gary GoodridgeNow 1592
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580
Guilherme PatNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
62%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gary GoodridgeGuilherme Pat
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
6 (26%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (4%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Guilherme Pat63%
Gary Goodridge 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 63% favorite over Gary Goodridge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1594), separated by just 2 points.

Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gary Goodridge finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.