Gaston Bolaños vs Michael Aswell Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSATeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
Michael Aswell Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gaston Bolaños carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1614
If they lose-14→ 1582
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-18→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gaston BolañosMichael Aswell Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Aswell Jr.60%
Gaston Bolaños 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Aswell Jr. a 60% favorite over Gaston Bolaños in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michael Aswell Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1596, a 34-point edge.
Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michael Aswell Jr. 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.