Gaston Bolaños vs Michael Aswell Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSATeam4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Michael Aswell Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gaston Bolaños carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1614
If they lose-14→ 1582
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-18→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gaston BolañosMichael Aswell Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Aswell Jr.71%
Gaston Bolaños 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Aswell Jr. a 71% favorite over Gaston Bolaños in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Michael Aswell Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1596, a 48-point edge.
Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michael Aswell Jr. 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.