Gauge Young vs Kristians Boguzs
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Gauge Young62%
Kristians Boguzs 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gauge Young a 62% favorite over Kristians Boguzs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kristians Boguzs's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Kristians Boguzs enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gauge Young finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kristians Boguzs 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
70"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gauge YoungKristians Boguzs