Genji Umeno vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
69.3"Reach71.1"
141 lbsWeight145 lbs
PhoenixTeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
Genji Umeno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kyohei Hagiwara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1511
If they lose-26→ 1463
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-15→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Genji UmenoKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Genji Umeno72%
Kyohei Hagiwara 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Genji Umeno a 72% favorite over Kyohei Hagiwara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Genji Umeno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1466, a 23-point edge.
Genji Umeno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Kyohei Hagiwara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.