Combat Edge Intelligence

George Hardwick vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight AcademyTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George HardwickNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Terrance McKinneyNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
39%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
71%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
3.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

George HardwickTerrance McKinney
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
3 (20%)
Submission
9 (50%)
6 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

George Hardwick71%
Terrance McKinney 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes George Hardwick a 71% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

George Hardwick finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.