Combat Edge Intelligence

George Hardwick vs Turpal Gediev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach71.7"
154 lbsWeight147 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight Academy· 1600 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamIntegra Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George HardwickNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Turpal GedievNow 1670
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
71%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

George HardwickTurpal Gediev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (38%)
6 (40%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

George Hardwick57%
Turpal Gediev 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes George Hardwick a 57% favorite over Turpal Gediev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Turpal Gediev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Turpal Gediev enters on a 8-fight win streak.

George Hardwick finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Turpal Gediev 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.