Ger Harris vs Nate Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ger HarrisNate Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ger Harris and Nate Smith within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1558), separated by just 2 points.
Nate Smith enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nate Smith 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.