Gerald Meerschaert vs Ian Heinisch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-22-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGenesis MMA
What's at stake
Ian Heinisch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-11→ 1639
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gerald MeerschaertIan Heinisch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Heinisch66%
Gerald Meerschaert 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Heinisch a 66% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ian Heinisch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1650, a 35-point edge.
Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Ian Heinisch 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.