Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-8→ 1642
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+8→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
53%
Strike defense
57%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.33
30%
Takedown accuracy
19%
43%
Takedown defense
82%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertKrzysztof Jotko
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
29 (78%)
Submission
2 (7%)
2 (5%)
Decision
20 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko92%
Gerald Meerschaert 8%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1650, a 119-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.