Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
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Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMartinez BJJ

What's at stake

Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-10→ 1640
Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+13→ 1729
If they lose-19→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.32
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
53%
Strike defense
43%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.08
30%
Takedown accuracy
26%
43%
Takedown defense
83%
1.38
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertKyle Daukaus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
29 (78%)
Submission
12 (71%)
2 (5%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Daukaus81%
Gerald Meerschaert 19%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 81% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1650, a 66-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.