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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
us

Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMartinez BJJ

What's at stake

Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1634
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-9→ 1625
Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-20→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.32
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
54%
Strike defense
43%
1.70
Takedown avg.
2.08
7%
Takedown accuracy
26%
40%
Takedown defense
83%
1.49
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertKyle Daukaus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
29 (78%)
Submission
12 (71%)
2 (5%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Daukaus65%
Gerald Meerschaert 35%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 65% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1634, a 82-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.