Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Luis Felipe Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamParana Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Luis Felipe DiasNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
53%
Strike defense
53%
1.82
Takedown avg.
6.24
30%
Takedown accuracy
57%
43%
Takedown defense
67%
1.38
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertLuis Felipe Dias
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
29 (78%)
Submission
8 (44%)
2 (5%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias62%
Gerald Meerschaert 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 62% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Luis Felipe Dias 94%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.