Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record30-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-9→ 1641
Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+9→ 1745
If they lose-15→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
53%
Strike defense
61%
1.82
Takedown avg.
3.03
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
78%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertMakhmud Muradov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
19 (63%)
29 (78%)
Submission
3 (10%)
2 (5%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov84%
Gerald Meerschaert 16%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 84% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1650, a 86-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.

Gerald Meerschaert and Makhmud Muradov share 1 common opponent: Bryan Barberena.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2024
Bryan Barberena
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023