Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+15→ 1677
If they lose-17→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
53%
Strike defense
58%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.07
30%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
72%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertTrevin Giles
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
29 (78%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (5%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevin Giles51%
Gerald Meerschaert 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevin Giles a 51% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1662), separated by just 12 points.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.