Gerard Gordeau vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record15-2-3
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
TBDReach--
216 lbsWeight176 lbs
KamakuraTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
Royce Gracie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Gerard Gordeau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+37→ 1543
If they lose-11→ 1495
If they win+7→ 1732
If they lose-25→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gerard GordeauRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Royce Gracie79%
Gerard Gordeau 21%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Royce Gracie a 79% favorite over Gerard Gordeau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Royce Gracie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1506, a 219-point edge.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Royce Gracie 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.