Geun Young Lee vs Mateusz Makarowski
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Makarowski54%
Geun Young Lee 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Makarowski a 54% favorite over Geun Young Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.
Geun Young Lee enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Geun Young Lee finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record14-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
SSABI MMATeamWCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Geun Young LeeMateusz Makarowski