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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gheorghe Balaur vs Marcin Wrzosek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcin Wrzosek
pl

Marcin Wrzosek

“The Polish Zombie”

14-7-0FeatherweightKSW

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gheorghe BalaurNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Marcin WrzosekNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gheorghe BalaurMarcin Wrzosek
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gheorghe Balaur52%
Marcin Wrzosek 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gheorghe Balaur a 52% favorite over Marcin Wrzosek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Gheorghe Balaur enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marcin Wrzosek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gheorghe Balaur finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Wrzosek 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.